Dota2 · resolved market
Team Falcons to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23425c7c76c4983c1a5f2d9555644f2ebbcce6914f81ef604398c89afcaf085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 18,367$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.05 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 75c | 10,072$7,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 24c | 8,817$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.65 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 5,856$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.46 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 64c | 4,051$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.31 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 66c | 2,607$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.34 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 72c | 1,498$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked No | 71c | 1,248$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…9d89backed No | 69c | 1,136$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 1,075$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 70c | 981.77$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.53 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 795.54$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 25c | 690.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 67c | 546.88$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 70c | 528.04$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 500.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 71c | 404.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed No | 68c | 310.47$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…91b9backed Yes | 25c | 252.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 71c | 212.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 13c | 198.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Yes | 31c | 135.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Yes | 32c | 125.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 67c | 114.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked No | 72c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 104.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 99.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed No | 65c | 92.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 29c | 85.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked No | 74c | 71.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43df…c8acbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 70c | 67.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 67c | 61.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 54.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…89a1backed Yes | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 42.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 40.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed No | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0326…370fbacked No | 72c | 35.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked No | 67c | 35.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 69c | 31.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 28.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 27.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 68c | 26.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed No | 71c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 19.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 68c | 16.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 75c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?this page
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?No won
- Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.