Dota2 · resolved market
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e5f8089864d5ada17dcdae1a38a081c3a631eb1eff4899268fd2d1a8f0a8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 17,049$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.6 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 6,216$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.4 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked No | 68c | 5,586$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.19 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 65c | 4,153$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.67 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 4,051$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.03 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 46c | 2,854$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 33c | 2,710$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.18 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 49c | 1,230$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 47c | 1,220$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 1,015$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.77 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 70c | 942.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 14c | 887$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 29c | 850$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 70c | 842.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 66c | 772.63$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 700.16$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.13 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 630.78$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yes | 50c | 599.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Yes | 25c | 590.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 32c | 475$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 71c | 361.08$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…327abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Yes | 30c | 305.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed No | 71c | 281.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 66c | 274$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 69c | 270.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 25c | 253.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 52c | 241.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 70c | 226.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 41c | 225.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 55c | 177.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 66c | 159.14$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 66c | 128.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Yes | 53c | 106$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 58c | 100.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 86.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…5646backed Yes | 58c | 85.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 79.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 70c | 76.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 27c | 74.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 73.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 32c | 70.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 59c | 69.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Yes | 31c | 66.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 67c | 46.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…8810backed No | 53c | 40.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 56c | 36.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…daa2backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 67c | 35.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 70c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…74e8backed Yes | 34c | 30.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 30.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…799cbacked Yes | 47c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 18.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked No | 73c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?this page
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?No won
- Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.