Dota2 · resolved market
Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35187c773166dcd7e32a42429f10a9d7adddff06e7a03a97558367a8b3df0218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 51c | 5,734$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.97 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 50c | 4,896$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 4,051$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yes | 43c | 3,474$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.93 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Yes | 42c | 2,852$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.43 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yes | 58c | 2,034$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 58c | 1,015$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.56 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,001$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 55c | 997$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.39 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 896.77$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yes | 40c | 863.48$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.09 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked No | 58c | 813$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.23 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Yes | 41c | 710.77$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 58c | 631.41$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 47c | 563.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed No | 39c | 489.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 57c | 465$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 44c | 429.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 55c | 386.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 60c | 364.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 335.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 42c | 289.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Yes | 48c | 266.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed Yes | 47c | 211.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yes | 45c | 152.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yes | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Yes | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 51c | 111.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Yes | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 109.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 60c | 106.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 46c | 81.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 60c | 70.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…5f58backed Yes | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 37c | 56.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 52.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 29c | 50.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 43c | 44.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…ffd1backed Yes | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…8810backed No | 57c | 37.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 40c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 61c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team: Draw (1-1)?this page
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?No won
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.