World Politics · resolved market
Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aad86735cb77de1c5e48a1a77f69599c2872b27bdf984856f9775dbaeb5963f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 43c | 17,312$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,404.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed Yes | 62c | 5,463$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 52c | 4,382$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.37 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…15f9backed No | 53c | 3,745$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 61c | 2,713$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.53 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 41c | 2,712$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.98 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…de17backed Yes | 60c | 2,503$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 60c | 2,377$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 53c | 2,375$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 53c | 1,306$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 60c | 1,299$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 55c | 1,150$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.73 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked No | 45c | 979.74$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…4210backed Yes | 77c | 880.36$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 55c | 689.7$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.78 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 61c | 547.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 75c | 519.19$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 60c | 503.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 448.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 58c | 390$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.03 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 46c | 387.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked Yes | 54c | 363.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Yes | 59c | 245.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked No | 40c | 232.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 54c | 198$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…1b17backed Yes | 59c | 170.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…8192backed Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 58c | 144$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 63c | 137.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…e826backed Yes | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 58c | 108.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 42c | 106.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…3cfebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 23c | 99.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…8bd1backed Yes | 60c | 94.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 46c | 74.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…8ebbbacked Yes | 60c | 69.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…26c9backed Yes | 57c | 53.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 65c | 46.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 57c | 44.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked No | 42c | 42.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Yes | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 54c | 38.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 48c | 33.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c50…3612backed Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…4405backed Yes | 61c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 44c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.