F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe993c66211c2856a8f40dc6530bd4bc5dec823c1142a6ca4f1aa5223cf908ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,480$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.53 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 44c | 929.56$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.06 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 36c | 646.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.07 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 48c | 585.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 494.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 58c | 441.12$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 56c | 386.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 52c | 274.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…f958backed No | 57c | 246.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 204.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…8650backed Yes | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 76c | 172.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 52c | 147.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 144.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 136.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 55c | 132.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 122.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 55c | 119.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 35c | 107$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…8d46backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3314…ef07backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 43c | 93.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed No | 38c | 53.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 53c | 51.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 24c | 51.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…1b17backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…4b75backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…08a9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 44c | 45.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 49c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…57e0backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…19e7backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…47a7backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 23.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 59c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.