Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8b85a6d63802331a123b431a7d0d08d312e110daaaf54ee9d9617e6b6ed301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 40c | 1,363$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.27 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 15c | 975.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 42c | 749.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 18c | 508.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes | 37c | 436.76$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 353.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 19c | 309.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 304.39$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…ee76backed Yes | 8c | 296.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 20c | 162.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 120.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 63c | 111.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 109.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 80c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed No | 63c | 95.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 78c | 93.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 59c | 93.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 51c | 77.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 74c | 76.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 47c | 64.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 63c | 55.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 19c | 53.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 25c | 48.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 105 | 12.4%13 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 40c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 46c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…00d3backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…4b83backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 17.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.