Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b33b8c86a3eac16c1f7a148822e143bf1a08e0da631d56674eea230554d85a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 39c | 1,368$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.53 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 57c | 809$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 75c | 367.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 20c | 346.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 345.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 75c | 330.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 253.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 69c | 239.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 191$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 31c | 165.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 105 | 12.4%13 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…beabbacked No | 25c | 146.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 42c | 129.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes | 42c | 123$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 32c | 115.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 53c | 94.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 90.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 28c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 30c | 88.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…7384backed No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 30c | 68.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 16c | 68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 73c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 48.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 45.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 44.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 40.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 74c | 25.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…852abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…4b83backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e1…ae66backed No | 76c | 17.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…e898backed Yes | 79c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.