Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a04354039a56332f74696cc483184ed8a948e7f75e0de89733f1767a33c279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,291$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 1,035 | 10.5%109 W · 926 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 42c | 1,230$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 250 | 32.4%81 W · 169 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 47c | 883.5$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 256 | 28.1%72 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 15c | 824.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 458 | 23.4%107 W · 351 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 19c | 783.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 520 | 28.3%147 W · 373 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.43per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 3c | 433.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 65c | 325.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…3493backed Yes | 3c | 318.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 313.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 230.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 208.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 567 | 8.1%46 W · 521 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 202.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 813 | 35.7%290 W · 523 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 11.4%10 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 62c | 177.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 25c | 177$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 152$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…839fbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 105$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 78c | 103.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 344 | 70.3%242 W · 102 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 97.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 388 | 30.2%117 W · 271 L | -21.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 70c | 92.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 17c | 91.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 105 | 12.4%13 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 40c | 70.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 68.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c966backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 218 | 57.3%125 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 58c | 39.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 37c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 146 | 76%111 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…4ecfbacked No | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…83e1backed No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…9ea3backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed Yes | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 60c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.