Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b858cbc3de0e071bd9828eb5eed8572d87d8074dead937b1d204a749ae1aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 42,001$22,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,088.09 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 14,580$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 37c | 8,586$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.97 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 7,290$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 74c | 4,302$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 62c | 3,761$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.33 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 3,424$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.35 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 3,159$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.45 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 2,918$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.47 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 2,070$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.24 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 24c | 1,765$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 37c | 1,760$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.68 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 42c | 1,374$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 48c | 680.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 633.36$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 21c | 619.18$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 55c | 574.19$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 36c | 553.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 21c | 470.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 75c | 444$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…ec2dbacked Yes | 80c | 375.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 368.14$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 36c | 364.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 42c | 356.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 304.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.66 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 35c | 287.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…9518backed Yes | 70c | 264.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 30c | 214.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Yes | 74c | 209.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 205.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 63c | 173.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 22c | 173.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 34c | 168.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 109.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 33c | 105.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 19c | 102$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 98.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 63c | 90.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 33c | 89.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Yes | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 88.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 31c | 80.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 77c | 75.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed No | 35c | 72.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e5…5228backed Yes | 80c | 63.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 45c | 62.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 57.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 55.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 67c | 54.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Yes | 27c | 53.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 45c | 51.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 36c | 50.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 38c | 48.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Yes | 40c | 47.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed No | 39c | 46.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 41.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed Yes | 62c | 37.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 51c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 36.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked No | 63c | 34.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 58c | 33.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 34c | 31.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…83c8backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…159bbacked No | 71c | 26.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…203ebacked Yes | 42c | 26.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 58c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Yes | 59c | 25.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 22.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes | 79c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Yes | 70c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 67c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?No won
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.