TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,483 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c44,147$21,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,700.684,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over48c8,500$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.8412553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c6,388$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1943154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over15c5,939$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.065330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over69c5,285$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.4522753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over67c4,502$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over60c4,175$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5052161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over19c3,994$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.26156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under24c2,208$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over75c1,999$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.445050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over76c1,622$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.5313263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over62c1,610$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,237$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.041,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over63c1,051$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.3312650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over31c999.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.993435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over74c849.04$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62711651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over76c808.08$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.142763%17 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over45c790$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over63c779.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over73c772.12$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over30c660$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over56c640$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.63262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under27c584.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.443040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over68c558.82$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over59c512.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Over60c497.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.492657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under75c450$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c436.69$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.931,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under31c435.01$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7317032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over73c405.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2965448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over25c404.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.071952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over62c403.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.927440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over41c368.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518042.5%34 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under33c367.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.863060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over70c342.86$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under34c326.26$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.431,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c295.16$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over75c265.21$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.913943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over76c261$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c249.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.621,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c238.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9341147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc952…1d90backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over10c195.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.632030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c186.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.012,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over75c185.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1398641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under27c181$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.061942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under26c179.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under26c162.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.591266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under25c160.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.659629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under37c148.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.011741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under43c146.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over70c144.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.53540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick58cpaid-75.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3314028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over66c122.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c114.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over63c112.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.722763%17 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under63c100.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under29c90$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+91%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over71c90$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0713249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under51c88.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Under26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.924452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under24c76.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2328847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Under22c72.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.733658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d9…441dbacked Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over69c70.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.072737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e7c…367fbacked Over75c67.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3038…b822backed Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over76c65.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504082.5%33 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.