La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0bd20b34720b1e35575fba95f7dcd30349dbdf2628bb7cd11a4c18ae6f32e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 44,147$21,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,700.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.84 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 6,388$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 15c | 5,939$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.06 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 69c | 5,285$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.45 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Over | 67c | 4,502$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 60c | 4,175$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 19c | 3,994$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.26 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 24c | 2,208$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.2 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 75c | 1,999$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 76c | 1,622$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.53 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 62c | 1,610$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,237$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.04 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 1,051$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.33 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 849.04$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 76c | 808.08$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 45c | 790$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 63c | 779.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 73c | 772.12$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 27c | 584.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 68c | 558.82$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 59c | 512.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Over | 60c | 497.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 75c | 450$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 436.69$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.93 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 31c | 435.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 73c | 405.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 25c | 404.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 62c | 403.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 41c | 368.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 33c | 367.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 326.26$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 295.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 75c | 265.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 76c | 261$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 249.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 46c | 238.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Over | 10c | 195.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 186.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 75c | 185.33$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 27c | 181$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 26c | 179.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 26c | 162.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 25c | 160.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Under | 37c | 148.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 70c | 144.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 68cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 66c | 122.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 114.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 63c | 112.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 63c | 100.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 51c | 88.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 24c | 76.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Under | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…441dbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 69c | 70.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…367fbacked Over | 75c | 67.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…b822backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 76c | 65.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.