TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,451 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c23,270$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,112.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c7,539$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,734.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c7,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.663865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under18c6,536$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,381.9761657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under9c5,671$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,165.42,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under34c3,367$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.431330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over14c2,662$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.325330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over75c2,400$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under68c2,352$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c1,185$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.191,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over30c1,039$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.43156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-80.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6903435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Over78c925.85$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.963135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under18c688.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.438146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under18c666.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.5428446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under16c666.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.639336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under5c519.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4328357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under10c461$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.599629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over44c452.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under16c450.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6941147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c377.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under16c365.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.234938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under9c315.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Under13c307.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.691931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+481.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Under39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Under17c214.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.674639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over24c207.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Over49c202.04$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Over63c198.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over76c195$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.81861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Under57c194.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under8c180.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7728847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8745backed Over63c170.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.61825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under18c163.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.563240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Under12c160.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.862330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+216.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over78c156.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.812352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c156$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1313251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8514028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under8c148$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under9c140.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.993040%12 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c1e…fe89backed Over33c137.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.311233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over61c135.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over47c133.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under25c120.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5817032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Under10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906418.8%12 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c90.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.381,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Over74c89.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Under14c87.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over56c86.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under23c83.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.373354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-75.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Over79c80$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Over60c78.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472560%15 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c71.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Under34c71.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.873360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over71c70.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.27263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.976529.2%19 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over34c63.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6417541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.313457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under53c59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7113249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Under34c52.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under65c51.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.161181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3135…98ddbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7482…da18backed Under47c46.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+101.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Under52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.524647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over73c39.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdec…7ad6backed Over45c38.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.082948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.724245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c31.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59d5…e993backed Under76c27.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Over69c23.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…e2a0backed Over62c22.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2334…69b6backed Over49c20.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2206…ae92backed Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3609…3a0bbacked Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.