La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af5ae414601f94c2dad4fd8ac720392770ae56e09b62b64ac35f246bd1916cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Under | 46c | 99,926$45,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,959.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Under | 47c | 8,008$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 6,812$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.74 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,025$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.5 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 5,964$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Over | 53c | 5,090$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 55c | 4,568$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.56 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 46c | 4,459$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 54c | 4,352$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over | 53c | 2,919$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 55c | 2,660$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,494$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…91b3backed Under | 49c | 2,248$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 46c | 2,103$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,900$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.08 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,894$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.08 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.93 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Over | 17c | 1,799$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 1,757$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.63 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 28c | 1,729$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 33c | 1,521$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,501$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.02 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 47c | 1,289$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.26 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 53c | 1,233$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Under | 68c | 1,093$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 51c | 1,023$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 911.1$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 46c | 893.96$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 55c | 851.3$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 29c | 807.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 726.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 54c | 699.53$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 443.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.77 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 47c | 430.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Over | 55c | 402.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 42c | 384.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…ef42backed Under | 69c | 356.29$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 52c | 317.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 284.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 54c | 265$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…3914backed Over | 8c | 251.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 249.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…1b8dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 220.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 47c | 219$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 52c | 209.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 49c | 203.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Over | 55c | 196.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…a9cdbacked Under | 60c | 189.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 53c | 187.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…0894backed Under | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 181.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 54c | 179.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…8054backed Under | 48c | 179$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…9372backed Under | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…6dc2backed Under | 48c | 177$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…7fabbacked Over | 52c | 174.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…5331backed Over | 52c | 170.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…e515backed Over | 52c | 168.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over | 51c | 167$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…33a7backed Over | 52c | 164.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…9473backed Over | 52c | 163.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…81b3backed Under | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…1c5abacked Over | 52c | 161.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed0…30f7backed Over | 52c | 161.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 16c | 160.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…b65dbacked Over | 52c | 160.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…78d9backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…bf0bbacked Under | 48c | 159$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 55c | 157.05$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…e8eabacked Under | 48c | 157$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…f7acbacked Over | 52c | 155.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…a26abacked Under | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…abc8backed Over | 52c | 154.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 151.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…9454backed Under | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.