TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,608 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under46c99,926$45,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,959.911668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over54c80,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Under47c8,008$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,244.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c6,812$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,715.7450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c6,025$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.520054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c5,964$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.254,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Over53c5,090$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over55c4,568$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.5611146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under46c4,459$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over54c4,352$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over53c2,919$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over55c2,660$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.863633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c2,494$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under49c2,248$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under46c2,103$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.723557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c1,900$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.0842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c1,894$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.0830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over48c1,850$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.9311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over17c1,799$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.891735.3%6 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under69c1,757$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.6323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over28c1,729$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.65330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over33c1,521$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c1,501$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.021,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under48c1,300$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over32c1,300$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.992814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under47c1,289$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.266360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over53c1,233$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.432035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Under68c1,093$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over51c1,023$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over54c911.1$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under46c893.96$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.681233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over55c851.3$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over29c807.69$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.237440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c726.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.683053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over54c699.53$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under52c653.85$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8510245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1f…f549backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under46c499.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c443.22$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.778756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under47c430.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.062540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Over55c402.56$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under47c399.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over42c384.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ab…ef42backed Under69c356.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Under52c317.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5911140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c284.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c265$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.126550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.321957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7279…3914backed Over8c251.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c249.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.161,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…1b8dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c220.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.241,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under47c219$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.074351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over52c209.77$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under49c203.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.697354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under51c196.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4714028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c23…a9cdbacked Under60c189.82$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c188$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over53c187.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.26349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d2…0894backed Under49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe477…b1b8backed Over55c181.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9970%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c181.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c179.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1120245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4386…8054backed Under48c179$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…9372backed Under48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa68a…6dc2backed Under48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…7fabbacked Over52c174.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4791…5331backed Over52c170.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…e515backed Over52c168.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Over51c167$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…33a7backed Over52c164.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32db…9473backed Over52c163.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d8…81b3backed Under48c163$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf948…1c5abacked Over52c161.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed0…30f7backed Over52c161.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over16c160.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x064b…b65dbacked Over52c160.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…78d9backed Under48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…bf0bbacked Under48c159$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over55c157.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f1…e8eabacked Under48c157$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c24…f7acbacked Over52c155.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d01…a26abacked Under48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec47…0124backed Over55c154.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…abc8backed Over52c154.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c151.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408d…9454backed Under48c151$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.