La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61d217822645609e893f1d88bc66f939c155f40526c39f45be91cf35c73621ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,312 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9472…af8bbacked Over | 35c | 57,143$19,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,926.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 22,296$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 67c | 14,999$10,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 3,598$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 3,260$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.45 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 2,677$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.19 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 66c | 1,742$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 14c | 1,164$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 66c | 1,160$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 35c | 904.54$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 29c | 863.38$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Under | 67c | 703.19$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 65c | 490$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 433.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 19c | 346.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 67c | 346.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 34c | 320$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 67c | 309$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 35c | 303.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Under | 67c | 299.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…0a30backed Over | 35c | 277.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 248.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 234.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9e…29ddbacked Over | 35c | 229.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 27c | 217.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 66c | 206.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 65c | 205.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 186.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 16c | 181.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 65c | 160.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 34c | 147.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 65c | 140.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…b1b8backed Over | 34c | 117.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Over | 18c | 109.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 66c | 108.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 69c | 99.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 34c | 91.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Under | 67c | 81.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 68c | 81.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…fdf7backed Over | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 33c | 67.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 65c | 65.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 20c | 61.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 35c | 57.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 67c | 52.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Under | 72c | 52.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 65c | 50.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…d49dbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…4c1bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Over | 34c | 44.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Over | 29c | 42.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 36.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…e809backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Over | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9dc4backed Under | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…b82ebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…dbc7backed Under | 67c | 26.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…eda6backed Under | 67c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Under | 66c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…ece0backed Under | 72c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…d398backed Under | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 66c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1012…b940backed Under | 66c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…509fbacked Under | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.