TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes74c17,000$12,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No28c14,742$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.7443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes72c12,980$9,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,634.4244952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No26c12,212$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.021735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No32c10,240$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.878545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed No27c6,028$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes73c5,500$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4801850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No28c5,000$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.043852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c4,348$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.1792050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes69c3,932$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.8913149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No29c3,450$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbe…5249backed No29c3,123$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c2,777$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes72c2,338$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5119934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes75c2,111$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.992,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc929…36c4backed No29c2,079$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes73c1,747$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.214740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes73c1,615$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.233458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes74c1,606$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.471030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes73c1,424$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No35c1,286$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No28c880.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No22c690.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2813040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…75d9backed Yes70c615$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes73c552.25$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.114067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes73c547$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.693154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No10c505$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7577141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027537.1%102 W · 173 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.544748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes72c450$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab2…321ebacked Yes74c432.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No25c431.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14821243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No37c396.5$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.711050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes67c393.14$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.414151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes71c352.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.371675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+68.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No30c334.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3710055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a4…dec4backed Yes75c330.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.74366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Yes74c330$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes67c328.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.365154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes73c325.2$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.214955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes75c300$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No26c299.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.992941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes74c275.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x30ce…a631backed Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes73c270$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.93545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fd…9499backed Yes73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff52…9138backed Yes66c205$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6613337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x990d…e328backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No30c194.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.331,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No26c186.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4212258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed No28c183.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.724141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes74c175$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No34c170$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.87244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1227…4c44backed Yes74c166.22$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No19c164$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.024353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No27c150.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No31c150.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No9c143.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854557.8%26 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes74c136.2$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c134.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8220449.5%101 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Yes74c134.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes73c126.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.232157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked No28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352035%7 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811419.3%22 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked No27c93.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.227939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes66c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No12c85.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.334052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes74c81.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabf8…87c3backed No17c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes71c76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445971.2%42 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672045%9 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes68c63.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.349056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No34c63.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.455058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No25c62.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.543625%9 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-29.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.