Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e7746b83f53e85d5684d5fef6e49fc452f865b6e83a0ebe2b0942f550bdd03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 10c | 7,464$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 14c | 7,070$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 4,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 12c | 2,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.89 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 11c | 1,507$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 1,398$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f3…d930backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 12c | 573.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 10c | 498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 12c | 485.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 12c | 442.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 13c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 10c | 249.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 217$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7642…dd50backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 161.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 10c | 116.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…2604backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 15c | 83.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 65.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 67c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.