Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc1996b154c36b51aba9da9a70458de8c17a80f7de0088acb32c6f4aa134d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 45c | 31,520$14,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,303.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 18,052$10,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,872.56 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 15,417$8,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,678.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 5,710$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 52c | 5,235$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.01 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 48c | 4,323$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 55c | 2,612$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 51c | 2,207$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 2,058$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 2,051$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.12 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 1,974$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.34 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked No | 48c | 1,920$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked No | 47c | 1,885$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,856$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 1,785$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.85 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 47c | 1,695$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,404$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 6c | 1,162$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.29 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 53c | 752.66$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 43c | 710.16$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 54c | 651.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…17a0backed No | 47c | 629.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 47c | 538$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 536.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 62c | 519.68$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 77c | 516$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 48c | 490.73$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 449.85$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 52c | 446.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 45c | 399.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 52c | 384.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 48c | 345.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Yes | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 53c | 275.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 55c | 253.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…3670backed Yes | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 47c | 210.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 206.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 53c | 200.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 45cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…51d0backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 57c | 162.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 23c | 141$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked No | 48c | 140.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 57c | 132.77$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 130.78$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 55c | 120.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 73c | 115.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 57c | 115$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked No | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 109.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 52c | 100.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 48c | 98.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 51c | 85.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 54c | 84.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.