Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8007a4ce94fc36561a4e32640a4e8af9284deeaf28dedd1d4679dd623bcbfdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 62c | 50,000$30,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,995.08 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 27c | 30,000$7,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 28,374$17,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,316.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 38c | 20,092$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,457.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 60c | 14,775$8,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.92 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.92 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 38c | 3,529$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 2,843$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.51 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,664$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.94 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 2,030$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.69 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.58 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.83 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 64c | 1,716$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 1,599$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.06 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 57c | 1,405$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 1,402$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,280$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.42 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,182$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 66c | 780.26$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.97 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 25c | 767.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 624.56$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 601.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 38c | 590$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.8 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 573.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 9c | 559.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 38c | 527.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.89 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 56c | 500$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 43c | 464.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 435.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 38c | 416.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 52c | 405$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 327.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 211.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 39c | 202.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…c32bbacked No | 35c | 201.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed No | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 65c | 187.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 39c | 170$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 63c | 160.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 157.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 62c | 135.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 56c | 131.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 60c | 128.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 55c | 120.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 62c | 118.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 97.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 34c | 88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 27c | 73.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 38c | 71.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 38c | 69.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 49c | 68.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 58c | 68.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 62c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 65c | 44.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Yes | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 71cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Yes | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…b680backed No | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 66c | 16.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.