Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x007814e8a1cbd3e875923326e5db36d12fd85912e6865201e3d223bbe865100b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,606 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 32c | 8,333$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 7,356$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 1,999$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.77 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 1,042$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.68 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 52c | 821.53$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 731.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.54 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 72c | 537.19$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 519.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 409.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.81 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 392.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 303.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 250.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 33c | 237.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 213.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 21c | 186.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 141.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 131.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 126$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 30c | 108.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 96.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 81.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 24c | 78.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 73c | 73.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 29c | 67.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +180.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 68c | 62.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 31c | 58.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 58.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 20c | 56.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 41.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 32.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 29.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 26.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…8b85backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.