Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca08a7ccb4ad628bbf20f0ec3c7fa047f1674c43bf0276193bd17a469ea54f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,367 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 2,717$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,169$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.2 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 37c | 1,132$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 1,009$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 40c | 953.81$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.46 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 42c | 719.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 676.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Yes | 78c | 657.12$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed No | 52c | 470$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 49c | 444.71$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 35c | 418.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 417$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 279.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 253.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 61c | 247.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 26c | 238.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 228.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 49c | 203.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 167.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 162.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked Yes | 74c | 135.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 129.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 74c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 107.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 14c | 96.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 87.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked No | 59c | 85.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 17c | 78.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 67c | 75.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Yes | 60c | 66.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…bfbebacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 78cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…3008backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…f983backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 66c | 49.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Yes | 49c | 29.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 43c | 25.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 65c | 25.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 63c | 21.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Yes | 62c | 21.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…cf2abacked Yes | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.