Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29051a48283ea87aef5f0564f706efaadc2ff3459fd633998f82a379f1b11517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,242 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 39c | 22,912$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,929.88 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 8,393$5,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 4,746$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.96 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Yes | 43c | 3,666$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 3,276$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.85 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 1,551$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.57 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,265$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 980.49$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 844.2$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 810.53$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.26 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 744.79$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.12 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 694.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.27 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 654$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 543.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 526.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 61c | 348$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 335.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 295.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 266.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 61c | 253.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 63c | 246.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 41c | 242.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 42c | 239.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 235$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 42c | 225.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 37c | 200.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbb…68fabacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 62c | 162.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 61c | 142.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Yes | 14c | 140.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 61c | 131.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 34c | 109.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 30c | 99.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 91.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 87.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked No | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Yes | 67c | 81.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 76.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 29c | 75.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 45c | 73.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 42c | 68.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb243…9297backed Yes | 26c | 63.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 36c | 62.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 55.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 59c | 54.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 63c | 47.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 62c | 42.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289c…79bcbacked Yes | 32c | 39.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 42c | 39.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 39c | 35.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 61c | 35.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 40c | 35.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 62c | 34.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 32c | 32.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed No | 66c | 26.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Yes | 39c | 25.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 61c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Yes | 79c | 17.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 61c | 16.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked Yes | 72c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.