Euroleague · resolved market
Unicaja vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e6cea26b5a8f88345a7f5368c4875553070230aad026b577d4cd151cd23545e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Unicaja, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Unicaja | 0c | 7,312$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Unicaja | 62c | 2,211$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.46 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Real Madrid | 65c | 1,200$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Unicaja | 38c | 728.78$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.38 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Unicaja | 38c | 686.65$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.56 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 40c | 382.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Real Madrid | 23c | 322.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Real Madrid | 50c | 291.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid | 20c | 160$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Real Madrid | 37c | 153.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Real Madrid | 47c | 151.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Real Madrid | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Real Madrid | 59c | 148$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Real Madrid | 59c | 146.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Real Madrid | 22c | 134.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Real Madrid | 60c | 131.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Unicaja | 37c | 131$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Unicaja | 39c | 127.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Unicaja | 45c | 106.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Unicaja | 38c | 96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Unicaja | 45c | 88.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed Real Madrid | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Real Madrid | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Real Madrid | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Real Madrid | 63c | 79.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Unicaja | 42c | 78.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…5c55backed Real Madrid | 60c | 75.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Unicaja | 58c | 67.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Unicaja | 35c | 65.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Real Madrid | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Real Madrid | 38c | 62.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…14f7backed Real Madrid | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Real Madrid | 29c | 59.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Real Madrid | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Real Madrid | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Real Madrid | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…5bebbacked Real Madrid | 39c | 33.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Real Madrid | 62c | 30.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Real Madrid | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Unicaja | 68c | 22.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.