TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,525 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes44c7,995$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.266453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No18c4,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.9633244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c3,732$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.581,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes49c2,842$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No7c2,692$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.5649143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c2,324$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.193,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No7c2,143$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.863438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes43c1,401$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61656547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.116844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No14c1,083$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.062642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No15c858.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.367757.1%44 W · 33 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No11c824.79$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.5148658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5815540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No14c716.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.427335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No20c630$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.124541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c609.01$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2978248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c586.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018840.4%76 W · 112 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No9c546.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+243%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c533.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No27c515.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c490.11$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No16c479.82$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.0544655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c392.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.142,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c327.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.391,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No22c272.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cd…adafbacked No55c263.64$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes68c256$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.361931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked No60c251.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6311843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c248.11$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3956951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…4925backed No52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes45c184.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.829043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No11c181.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.825127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c178.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No26c165$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.13847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Yes75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1810771%76 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes77c137.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7253645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Yes42c134.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.465250%26 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes77c130.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x052e…7926backed Yes77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No57c116.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4518353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c102.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4476234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked No19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No59c98.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes46c98.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122737%10 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No56c98.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4312157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c96.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.528822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffd…c3f5backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No58c79.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.614756.5%83 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No56c72.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.655752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf29…7a51backed Yes62c64.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60af…1e5abacked Yes78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes72c58.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.623458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No20c58.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Yes77c54.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.148050%40 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.559345.2%42 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes67c52.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.094643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.098647.7%41 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c47.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.141,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No57c43.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.842832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203060%18 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Yes72c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.072673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c37.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.681732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Yes33c37.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No34c37.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6230647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Yes44c34.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Yes48c33.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes69c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No60c32.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.898846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No56c31.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.676558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+73.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No56c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.925850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…0691backed Yes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes69c25.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No59c23.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes69c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.871154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes80c21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7622245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c20.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9363645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.926251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Yes68c17.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Yes80c15.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a8d…e12abacked Yes79c13.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.