Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Elise Mertens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcd55ba34467898a90eef5246fed125e336c133b1007e1d9dbc6e7c33847ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sorana Cirsteaof Sorana Cirstea, Elise Mertens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,885 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 11,495$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.77 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Elise Mertens | 54c | 3,574$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.92 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 67c | 3,115$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elise Mertens | 37c | 2,715$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Sorana Cirstea | 60c | 1,984$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 1,961$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.34 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sorana Cirstea | 46c | 1,780$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.2 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 1,590$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 69c | 1,306$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 1,145$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.35 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Elise Mertens | 43c | 1,117$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elise Mertens | 51c | 1,075$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Elise Mertens | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.3 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.39 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…86b5backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 999.52$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.02 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elise Mertens | 51c | 963.79$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.09 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 958.39$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.63 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 953.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elise Mertens | 30c | 929.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.83 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 900.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.41 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Elise Mertens | 40c | 652.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sorana Cirstea | 69c | 637.36$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Sorana Cirstea | 54c | 522.7$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…973dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 60c | 500.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens | 40c | 494.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Sorana Cirstea | 60c | 492.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sorana Cirstea | 67c | 469.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Elise Mertens | 59c | 463.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.18 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 412.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…97c0backed Elise Mertens | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sorana Cirstea | 53c | 353.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sorana Cirstea | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Elise Mertens | 15c | 348.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Elise Mertens | 53c | 331.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Sorana Cirstea | 70c | 300.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 286.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 257.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 256.25$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Elise Mertens | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 210.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Elise Mertens | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Elise Mertens | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elise Mertens | 28c | 197.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Sorana Cirstea | 70c | 171.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 170.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Sorana Cirstea | 46c | 161.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…8240backed Elise Mertens | 34c | 161.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Sorana Cirstea | 65c | 154.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Sorana Cirstea | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Elise Mertens | 23c | 148.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elise Mertens | 33c | 143.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 139.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…9401backed Sorana Cirstea | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 125.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elise Mertens | 33c | 116.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 113.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 109.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 103.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sorana Cirstea | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…d658backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 92.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Elise Mertens | 56c | 82.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Sorana Cirstea | 61c | 70.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…cc64backed Sorana Cirstea | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 56c | 67.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Elise Mertens | 54c | 60.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 60.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Elise Mertens | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 59.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Sorana Cirstea | 51c | 55.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Elise Mertens | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 53.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 51.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Sorana Cirstea | 61c | 50.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Elise Mertens | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elise Mertens | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sorana Cirstea | 48c | 48.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sorana Cirstea | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 37.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sorana Cirstea | 47c | 35.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Sorana Cirstea | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…9dc9backed Sorana Cirstea | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Elise Mertensthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs MertensCirstea won
- Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)Cirstea won
- Sorana Cirstea vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.