NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6047625c3a0940b8299ab247d857621f85a814bde19ecb4a91eb9f8c96c8db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 115,000$55,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,800 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 111,893$58,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,184.52 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 10,138$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…95f6backed Over | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Over | 49c | 4,382$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.04 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 52c | 4,010$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.79 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…933fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…8905backed Under | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c65…f62abacked Under | 47c | 2,766$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,914$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.12 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 1,779$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.26 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 1,709$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 1,690$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.06 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 1,367$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.39 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Over | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 18c | 944.42$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 943.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 51c | 839.2$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.21 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 800$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.27 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 53c | 731.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.02 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 52c | 680$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.63 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 676.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 49c | 632.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.61 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 52c | 600$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Under | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 53c | 575.62$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 52c | 559.37$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 366.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.49 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Over | 49c | 364.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 338.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…f22dbacked Over | 54c | 331.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 52c | 306$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 51c | 295.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 51c | 260.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 48c | 251.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 51c | 217.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 198.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Under | 53c | 189.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 53c | 188.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 187$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 170.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Over | 54c | 162.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 53c | 133.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…42c7backed Under | 49c | 116.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 54c | 107.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 104.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked Over | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…92bcbacked Over | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966e…b2febacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 90.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9633backed Over | 55c | 85.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 53c | 79.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 53c | 78.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…f407backed Over | 54c | 62.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Over | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…9894backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…e731backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…6392backed Over | 51c | 49.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5this page
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.