NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c25453bf088d19912adbc754874f0f72400e174f2abe8f47c64bc7143a8046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,310,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,312,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,310,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Nets | 52c | 1,060,680$550,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550,087.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Mavericks | 48c | 399,600$191,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,792 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 49c | 265,338$131,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,314.77 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks | 48c | 250,000$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 48c | 159,999$76,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,199.48 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 49c | 35,439$17,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,364.93 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 49c | 34,898$17,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,033.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Mavericks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Mavericks | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 48c | 21,050$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,841.52 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 48c | 20,100$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,452 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 18,317$9,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,190.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 12,556$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.26 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,048$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.9 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 50c | 9,998$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,807$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,999$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Nets | 49c | 4,771$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.4 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,891$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 49c | 2,360$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,348$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.29 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.65 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.81 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,197$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.85 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nets | 22c | 1,120$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.19 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nets | 50c | 978$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 67c | 887.28$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 49c | 862.21$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…6453backed Nets | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets | 48c | 727.07$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.13 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Mavericks | 51c | 649.68$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.03 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nets | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Nets | 4c | 599.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Mavericks | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Mavericks | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Mavericks | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 56c | 457.71$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Nets | 39c | 451.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Mavericks | 49c | 413.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Nets | 49c | 408.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Mavericks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Mavericks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Mavericks | 50c | 361.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.83 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Nets | 51c | 345$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Nets | 51c | 294.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Mavericks | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nets | 49c | 218.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nets | 51c | 204.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Nets | 24c | 185.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Mavericks | 50c | 166.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nets | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 49c | 159.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Nets | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Nets | 51c | 137.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Mavericks | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Mavericks | 67c | 111$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Nets | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Nets | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…c001backed Mavericks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Mavericks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Mavericks | 51c | 86.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nets | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Nets | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Mavericks | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Mavericks | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 43c | 76.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 70.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Mavericks | 49c | 70.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Mavericks | 74c | 69.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nets | 50c | 68.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Mavericks | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Nets | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Nets | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Nets | 49c | 63.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)this page
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.