NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf019fcb45d6599c3744212bee7d28be2fdb1e8198335025ff6cdc7b71e3116d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 47c | 33,086$15,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,550.6 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 52c | 29,121$15,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,978.12 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…3d20backed Under | 53c | 10,450$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 5,197$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 3,613$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 3,332$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.08 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 3,218$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.62 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 48c | 2,763$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 1c | 2,602$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 2,215$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…b8f8backed Under | 53c | 2,090$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 1,960$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.92 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 53c | 1,867$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.49 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 1,629$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,333$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,004$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.26 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 47c | 937.57$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.28 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 53c | 720.75$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.75 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Over | 48c | 562.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 494.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 54c | 458.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 343$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 308.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 288.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 51c | 250.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 250.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Under | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 126.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Over | 27c | 115.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Over | 49c | 110.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…e0e5backed Over | 47c | 107.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 105.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Over | 48c | 97.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 79.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 20c | 74.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…131abacked Over | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 53c | 62.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 59.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 48c | 57.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…cc50backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…318bbacked Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…dad6backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 58c | 45.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…5512backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 39.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 49c | 37.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 36.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5this page
- Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.