NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8ea652d0a28fecd6087922c3267bb7e455bce25825f07321ba6d86b532178c

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Mavericks, Nets
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks	47c	11,574$5,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,151.97	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets	54c	4,601$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets	54c	4,361$2,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,341.54	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets	53c	3,461$1,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,827.84	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	56c	3,064$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.14	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks	45c	2,708$1,228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.22	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nets	53c	2,371$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256.63	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets	54c	2,026$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.04	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Mavericks	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	46c	1,889$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.25	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks	46c	1,685$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$904.74	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks	46c	1,620$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.8	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	46c	1,568$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.31	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf525…e0eebacked Nets	53c	1,377$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.21	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nets	40c	1,247$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.27	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets	51c	1,205$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.9	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Nets	53c	1,127$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	211	42.7%90 W · 121 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets	52c	1,116$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.11	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21e…0b18backed Mavericks	48c	925$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Nets	53c	910.79$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.72	83	41%34 W · 49 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bbf…5a09backed Nets	53c	868$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.04	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Nets	51c	826.67$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nets	54c	702$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.08	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nets	53c	659.76$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.72	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Mavericks	47c	636.35$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.27	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Nets	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Nets	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-12.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Nets	5c	600$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	85	12.9%11 W · 74 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Nets	53c	599.99$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.99	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks	47c	549.81$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.79	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets	56c	536.02$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Nets	53c	529$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.37	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Nets	53c	500.53$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.28	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Nets	53c	471.7$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Mavericks	48c	459.62$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks	47c	448.15$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.52	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Nets	33c	445$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.15	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	59c	427.8$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.27	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nets	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Nets	52c	383.96$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Nets	45c	333$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	236	30.1%71 W · 165 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks	51c	308.04$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.94	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Nets	32c	299.99$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nets	52c	270.96$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets	50c	237.95$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.53	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Mavericks	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Nets	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Nets	53c	173$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.69	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Nets	48c	171.44$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.37	116	51.7%60 W · 56 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nets	40c	170.66$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets	53c	166.04$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Mavericks	53c	163.12$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.71	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5007…119dbacked Nets	17c	154.12$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Mavericks	46c	152.17$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Mavericks	48c	145.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nets	39c	145.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.04	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Nets	43c	130.23$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Nets	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks	60c	105$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.95	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Nets	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Mavericks	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Nets	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78df…b894backed Nets	53c	98.08$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks	46c	93.48$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.48	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Nets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Mavericks	58c	87.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.83	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Nets	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…c462backed Nets	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nets	45c	73.28$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Nets	46c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.2wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mavericks	56c	64.67$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.59	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Nets	56c	62.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.08	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Nets	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7049…2d56backed Mavericks	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks	47c	58.57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Mavericks	50c	57.92$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	183	39.3%72 W · 111 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x422b…3af2backed Nets	46c	52.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Mavericks	47c	51.75$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.43	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Mavericks	46c	47.96$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Mavericks	51c	46.2$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.64	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Nets	53c	45.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-11.5wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Nets	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Mavericks	66c	44.12$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	635	55.6%353 W · 282 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Nets	53c	43.85$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	45c	42.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.61	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Mavericks	55c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…741cbacked Mavericks	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Nets	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Mavericks	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Nets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	202	41.1%83 W · 119 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcb…0047backed Nets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92f0…9975backed Nets	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Nets	55c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	448	44.2%198 W · 250 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Mavericks	48c	37.02$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Mavericks	49c	30.97$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)this page
Nets vs. MavericksMavericks won
Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5Under won
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Under won
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 221.5Under won
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5Under won
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event