TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes37c35,855$13,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,502.1712736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c10,534$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.1837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c9,780$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c5,484$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.422,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c4,655$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.833,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c1,196$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.051,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c1,062$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.893,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes75c867.88$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes56c804$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0917436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c612.37$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.721,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked No10c610.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c570.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.185,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.323050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No62c520$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.44156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No44c399.23$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.981,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No58c398.68$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3529747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes37c396.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7415424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c393.76$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.41,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36d…bee3backed No65c371.14$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No30c330.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c329.87$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.861,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed80…0022backed No7c314.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes76c310$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.218953.9%48 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No67c300$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.518569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes49c279$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.311334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No66c266.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6512051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4118433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3926…5863backed No11c246.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12612443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No66c197.69$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Yes46c176.03$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.291050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes76c174$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2817542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes71c173.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.581,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c153.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.891,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.517066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No15c131.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c127$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8115459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes34c111.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0226749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No33c98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8710651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c97.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.068829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed No64c96.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes37c95.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.311338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No65c91.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.559361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes34c88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0818742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No63c79.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.892171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.923650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9489…bf18backed No28c70.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.19344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes40c62.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.762842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c61.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.182,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No64c59.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.241478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c58.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.681,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed No66c56.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+29.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked No67c56.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No69c54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.199649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No47c53.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.965335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a6…1961backed No68c53.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes66c50.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d4…eb10backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1727…9e2bbacked No63c49.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No33c49.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No67c48.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes61c47.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3727442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No64c46.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.78655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No63c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked No66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No64c35.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x314d…c936backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes45c30.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5216740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No53c30.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed No62c29.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.142347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked No69c29.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed No68c29.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.877265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No66c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.823759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes40c26.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0920065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed No64c20.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8611461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Yes65c18.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.362653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a67…c830backed No65c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe97e…436dbacked No65c16.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed No64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked No64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.