South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcadba6e705d2004ca4c06cad5d5ff0f1764e6efadfc03fd0f10b3d71ecefcb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 2,120$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 1,905$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.71 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,722$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…ec67backed No | 67c | 1,507$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 14c | 1,239$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 687.86$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 651.24$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed No | 76c | 630.28$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes | 35c | 565.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 457$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 259$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 64c | 246.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 233.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 31c | 223.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 210.02$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 12c | 173$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 166.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 79c | 166.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 10c | 141$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 16c | 106.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Yes | 17c | 104.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 68c | 95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 93.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…d8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 56.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 55.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf758…37ecbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 45.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad7…acc5backed Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 41.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 66c | 39.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 66c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 36.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 33.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked No | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…1961backed No | 59c | 23.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.