Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab53e0ebeb4711c845b7c8f3c9ab9a633a51aaffe4913f45d2db58f0fc597b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Northern Kentucky Norse, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 472,893$255,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255,225.65 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 300,000$138,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,000 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 53c | 105,000$55,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,576.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 83,625$39,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,321.34 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 14,000$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.94 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 3,147$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 2,016$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 799.96$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 630$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 563.27$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 459.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 449.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 397.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 271.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 241.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 132$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Green Bay Phoenix | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 91.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…1531backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 43.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…aeffbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 33.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 33.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Green Bay Phoenix | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 23.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)this page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay PhoenixGreen Bay Phoenix won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-2.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-4.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.