Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b291a54efb04d56e0de5081ca8ec89ce03f4fe0abd5ec05cb2ca6a14d76f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Northern Kentucky Norse, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 10,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.98 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 4,277$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 2,455$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.95 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 71c | 1,855$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 1,447$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 1,397$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 1,341$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.74 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 1,308$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.37 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 1,285$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 8c | 1,155$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 31c | 1,145$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.62 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 916$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.1 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 11c | 733.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…2b45backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 348$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 31c | 322.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 43c | 294$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 277.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 11c | 248.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 13c | 230$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 6c | 211.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 30c | 170.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 22c | 117.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 59c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 80c | 87.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…238cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Green Bay Phoenix | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 44.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 30c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…1472backed Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Green Bay Phoenix | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…236cbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 78c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 17.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 143.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5Over won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-2.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-4.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.