TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,325 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes27c62,887$16,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.7112736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c39,509$10,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,606.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c27,302$19,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,589.563,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c20,897$15,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c12,613$9,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.535,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d7…0501backed No72c10,762$7,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c10,573$8,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.211,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c7,641$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.552,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes25c5,788$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c5,078$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.4237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No74c3,576$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.1329747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No72c1,342$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes27c1,297$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.2820022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a9…9bf7backed Yes3c1,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c1,043$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes3c1,014$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.526235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No70c998.8$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6412750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No75c944.54$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c925.6$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.071,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c726$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.871,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes22c681.7$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.114854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c630.58$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.281,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No72c623$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4423354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No72c599.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No75c499.32$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.812051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No71c423$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.676944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be3…48dfbacked Yes28c371.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-84.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No77c316.28$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.391,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes27c286.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.64156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a3…85c0backed Yes22c274.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc2…f214backed Yes19c259.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes24c244.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1126749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes23c219.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.574027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c199.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No75c193$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5215459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No74c191.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.852642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes7c189.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No74c146.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.962369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No78c145.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6327053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed No75c143.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.832268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No74c140.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.439759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c139.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No76c138.11$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3611763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef2…1644backed Yes27c122$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes23c120.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.732650%13 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa768…84c7backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes24c117.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f09…0eb8backed Yes27c116$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad7…acc5backed Yes24c113.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No74c108.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7523542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b48…431fbacked Yes27c104$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes18c101.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.456221%13 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes28c95.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No74c90.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.441478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.972,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes27c88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes29c87.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No73c85.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No74c84.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No77c82.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322763%17 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No76c80.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.249361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c68.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked No73c68.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked No73c66.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.072650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No74c65.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked No76c65.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No77c58.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.369649%47 W · 49 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2f…10adbacked No74c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked No76c55.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No73c52.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.196448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a6…1961backed No78c52.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No73c51.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.117950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1861…1242backed No74c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…43b0backed No74c47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec87…ccecbacked No74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.259363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.433759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1989…2370backed Yes32c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed No74c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…88dfbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c30.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6839853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked No74c30.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No75c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5567548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b5…0229backed No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf7…31bebacked No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked No74c28.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf456…15cabacked No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked No74c26.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7e…e2b4backed No74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked No77c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.92240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.