TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes52c23,363$12,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,288.2331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes59c18,805$11,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,656.6721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes45c11,415$5,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,280.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes47c7,470$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c7,152$3,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.045,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c7,145$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,728.641,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No54c4,739$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.4137851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c4,212$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.072,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No36c4,198$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.71,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes70c3,516$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.3129747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c2,533$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.4319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes77c2,453$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.548,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c2,114$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.311,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No10c1,239$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8720022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c1,145$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.73,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No32c988$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No27c702.23$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8549449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c695$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No55c667.67$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes53c586.03$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1445946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes46c573.24$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.554854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes52c507.68$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.327951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15084943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes65c365.78$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.379428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…7437backed No13c322.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes53c274.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.123345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c212.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0618433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No55c203$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.632936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes43c179.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5721837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f9…eb87backed Yes47c179$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No6c177.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x931c…9b23backed Yes46c172$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c152.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4681651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c147.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed No37c147$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c2…d317backed Yes46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes73c135.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.955335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c2…9062backed Yes46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes70c129.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.513565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fe…8a80backed Yes46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes45c123.95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.172832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes47c122.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.341,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No17c113.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5427442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes48c108.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes46c102$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Yes73c73.77$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f50…09a4backed No54c73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yes47c72.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb153…37f7backed No54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ded…a789backed No54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ea…1ff9backed Yes46c65.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2220142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.551,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes69c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5510058%58 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf119…0045backed No54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes55c55.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.811,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf10…557ebacked Yes48c53.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No55c52.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.986855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6506…c751backed No54c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f46…8279backed No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.515459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d82…a5b1backed No54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No32c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.254763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd242…882fbacked No54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97b…0fb5backed No54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…85e2backed No57c41.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.542268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…8da5backed Yes46c40.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a6…1961backed No53c39.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c37.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f3…14ccbacked No54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No57c33.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd15…8393backed No54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747b…9cb0backed Yes48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes71c29.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5314352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes44c29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.242,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c28.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b1…97b1backed No54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4046…cdb1backed No54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed No41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f0…1b9bbacked No54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x463e…4162backed No54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb66…8990backed No54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7623542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9190…ed1ebacked No54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.