TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$429,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under47c31,493$14,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,676.2772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over53c20,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over51c8,888$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.117748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c8,344$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,948.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff3c…09ebbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9934645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Under48c7,790$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.4771052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over53c6,376$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.943351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under47c5,166$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.162,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Over54c4,803$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.8612740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9817250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4f…b4b5backed Under49c4,081$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over53c3,406$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.2585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c1,871$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.251,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over52c1,770$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.561,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,691$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c1,691$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.492,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over56c1,211$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.341,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under48c1,119$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0520746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over50c726.8$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.451753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30840243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c607$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.292,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Over53c599.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5441848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.049159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3928…15e4backed Under49c557$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Under56c518$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.527048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa92…0d27backed Over54c491.27$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.251450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over53c474.14$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over53c428.3$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.34650%23 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over44c210$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.62560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c195.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.742,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under48c193$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.641,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb7…8d07backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686055%33 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dc…336dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1912950.4%65 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c169$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.431,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c166$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…4f03backed Over57c134.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.677354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under47c121.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.113943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.433950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53f…b4c8backed Over55c114.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.513762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2122342.2%94 W · 129 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ac…13d8backed Over53c111.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a08…7ff5backed Under48c108.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb186…310cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…b6c5backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6169backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472556%14 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3413652.2%71 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8b…861dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295048%24 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f9…dd4fbacked Over54c87.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Over44c80.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8847144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under46c79.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0580148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc228…7a7dbacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248457.1%48 W · 36 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c47.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7260346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2429748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0071…32dfbacked Over53c43.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…0eebbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c70…173bbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68540%34 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc47d…feeebacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.248255%265 W · 217 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba2…eaa6backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7416357.1%93 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b8d…4a1cbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.717650%38 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over50c34.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over54c28.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9912251.6%63 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under42c28.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over51c28.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.721,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7841556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d21cbacked Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.328859.1%52 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709f…635abacked Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cee…5829backed Over58c24.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.241540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7991…ef53backed Over54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6741…ba00backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.