TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets46c42,474$19,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,442.722,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Lakers54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,80017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Lakers55c8,015$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.4836148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers53c5,601$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.6185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers54c4,357$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.4825945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets45c4,124$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Hornets47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9318142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Lakers55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57516446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Lakers54c3,043$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.159159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Lakers55c3,041$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.2751753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hornets47c2,724$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.8171052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets45c2,677$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Lakers56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7114156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hornets45c1,632$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.412,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Hornets48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9943247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets45c1,474$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.343,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Hornets49c1,198$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5879652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hornets47c1,031$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4842,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Hornets49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Lakers52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5412452.4%65 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…7231backed Lakers54c888.89$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hornets48c713$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Hornets45c689.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.492560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Hornets47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9923938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcf…96aebacked Lakers53c555$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb281…f47ebacked Hornets48c555$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Lakers55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Lakers57c440.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2636943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets46c426$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.023,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Hornets41c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Lakers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Lakers52c315.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.339051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lakers52c307.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Hornets47c299.95$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9823644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hornets48c299.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9641848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Lakers53c246.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.727843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Lakers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.773259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Hornets46c215.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009528.4%27 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Hornets49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Lakers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Lakers54c197.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.580148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Lakers51c195.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1723652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5777…1905backed Lakers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+168.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac71…d8cabacked Lakers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Lakers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Lakers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Lakers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575151%26 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers53c148.43$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.762,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets46c143$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c4…09a3backed Lakers55c135.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3410250%51 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…0ba5backed Hornets61c130$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Lakers53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Lakers55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1812657.9%73 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lakers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4637850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb539…cb26backed Lakers54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Hornets47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712342.3%52 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bbb…c7b4backed Hornets47c98.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Lakers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5932853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Lakers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5923550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Lakers54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5912654.8%69 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Lakers53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.340346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3854…862dbacked Lakers53c89.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.186055%33 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Lakers56c87.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Lakers54c81.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6213456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0657…14efbacked Lakers53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Lakers54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Lakers56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4325351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc7…6048backed Lakers55c67.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Lakers55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.643842.1%16 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x357b…7b85backed Lakers52c63.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.462045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051a…1d7bbacked Hornets49c60.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Lakers54c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.437253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Lakers33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Hornets45c56.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5530053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…908dbacked Lakers53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.616650%83 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Hornets43c54.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6435447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Lakers54c54.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111564.3%74 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers31c52.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Lakers53c52.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8335851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Lakers54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8590560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hornets48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.481,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Lakers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Hornets69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Lakers53c42.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8813943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Lakers56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68957.3%51 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04e…1b97backed Lakers53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers53c37.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5130454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Lakers56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lakers52c33.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd185…f969backed Lakers53c31.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Lakers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8529652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Lakers53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Lakers56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.796256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee6…67d2backed Lakers53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…6efcbacked Lakers54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.224951%25 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Hornets48c20.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0332743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Lakers56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.814953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Lakers56c17.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.