Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfea1101ee527a2382e7b551c6094ee9b0d670509455b009b82413dfd818ae4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof BC Dubai, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed BC Dubai | 16c | 4,331$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.41 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 2,934$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked BC Dubai | 35c | 1,400$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.93 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 1,369$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 1,238$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.55 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed BC Dubai | 35c | 1,035$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 38c | 646.23$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked BC Dubai | 37c | 620.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 422.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked BC Dubai | 38c | 419.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed BC Dubai | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed BC Dubai | 36c | 213.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BC Dubai | 32c | 199.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 159.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 147.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 135.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BC Dubai | 37c | 87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked BC Dubai | 24c | 77.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed BC Dubai | 37c | 77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…11efbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 58.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked BC Dubai | 47c | 48.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed BC Dubai | 28c | 46.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 43.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…cf47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…1510backed BC Dubai | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.