Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85721f6415a26d474970a689dd6f85da762f1375e33b05b207d6eeabf7467531
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 47c | 18,019$8,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,617.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 70c | 8,512$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.08 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 40c | 5,412$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.77 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…5431backed Yes | 61c | 3,306$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,730$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 49c | 2,419$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.22 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 25c | 2,300$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 2,115$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 24c | 2,080$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,639$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…03b8backed Yes | 76c | 1,547$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 1,198$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.97 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 1,089$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 516.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.52 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 25c | 404.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 380.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 77c | 324.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 23c | 303$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 67c | 298.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 282.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 264.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 246.04$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 47c | 236.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 23c | 209.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 24c | 206.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 75c | 205.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…7c29backed No | 25c | 203.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +302.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked No | 22c | 203.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +362.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 25c | 200.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 62c | 179.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 165.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 25c | 161.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 66c | 124$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 86.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yes | 63c | 85.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…64e1backed Yes | 57c | 84.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 74c | 81.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…635abacked No | 35c | 68.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 59.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…72e3backed Yes | 25c | 53.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Yes | 31c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…303bbacked No | 77c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Yes | 78c | 17.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…252abacked Yes | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.