Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56516ba4696345a5bfa11c1bd2ee0b8234299cff3ffe198d31fc15f0532ee355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 7c | 10,023$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 6,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.54 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 19c | 6,029$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 4,067$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.55 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,266$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.39 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 7c | 2,257$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,999$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.89 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,906$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.63 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 19c | 1,475$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.89 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 18c | 1,203$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 1,181$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.86 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 993$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 18c | 875$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 823.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 664.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked No | 80c | 650$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 14c | 529.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 79c | 499.95$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…700ebacked No | 80c | 468.69$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…5c58backed Yes | 18c | 442$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 385.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4c…4850backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 18c | 292.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 20c | 265.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 19c | 257.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…b50bbacked Yes | 20c | 252.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73f…0a1ebacked Yes | 21c | 239.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 16c | 206.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 14c | 172.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 169$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…467fbacked Yes | 20c | 117.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…f6f2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…aa2dbacked Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…d0d1backed Yes | 19c | 83.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 80c | 83.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…ea4abacked Yes | 21c | 76.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Yes | 23c | 64.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…9437backed No | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes | 21c | 52.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…1bd5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 43.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…984abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3e…303bbacked No | 77c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…5504backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.