Tennis · resolved market
ITF Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Rhys Lawlor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b5f19fc39fdccc47ec870499c9dfe905de1c6a74d98509aa48e64734593879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lui Maxtedof Lui Maxted, Rhys Lawlor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Lui Maxted | 36c | 12,227$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.5 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rhys Lawlor | 66c | 10,351$6,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Rhys Lawlor | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rhys Lawlor | 45c | 934.88$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.65 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rhys Lawlor | 52c | 716.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Lui Maxted | 76c | 638.14$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Rhys Lawlor | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Lui Maxted | 77c | 516$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Lui Maxted | 78c | 371.92$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Lui Maxted | 52c | 329.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Rhys Lawlor | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rhys Lawlor | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Rhys Lawlor | 26c | 189.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Lui Maxted | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Lui Maxted | 75c | 96.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rhys Lawlor | 25c | 94.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Lui Maxted | 77c | 93.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Lui Maxted | 42c | 91.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rhys Lawlor | 23c | 88.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lui Maxted | 73c | 77.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Rhys Lawlor | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Rhys Lawlor | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Rhys Lawlor | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Rhys Lawlor | 23c | 59.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rhys Lawlor | 23c | 57.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Rhys Lawlor | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rhys Lawlor | 23c | 46.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Rhys Lawlor | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Rhys Lawlor | 24c | 42.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rhys Lawlor | 47c | 40.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lui Maxted | 62c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Lui Maxted | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Rhys Lawlor | 45c | 29.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Lui Maxted | 78c | 29.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lui Maxted | 57c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Rhys Lawlor | 53c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Rhys Lawlor | 73c | 20.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Lui Maxted | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…6a7fbacked Lui Maxted | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Rhys Lawlor | 68c | 17.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Lui Maxted | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.