World Politics · resolved market
Will Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bb15abbb39b6254df2ef941fc768d5623ab527c6b5fc312ebe46fe5d2ee26f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,396$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed No | 68c | 1,307$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 1,177$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,173$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 1,121$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 75c | 1,065$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…7878backed Yes | 26c | 741.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 20c | 633.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Yes | 22c | 575.64$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 7c | 472.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 18c | 440$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 33c | 413.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…1e26backed Yes | 9c | 356.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…7270backed Yes | 32c | 351$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 36c | 329.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 30c | 326.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed Yes | 24c | 317.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 78c | 316.2$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 21c | 313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 31c | 307.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 24c | 306$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 10c | 300.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2850…0c6cbacked Yes | 20c | 282.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked No | 71c | 250.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 33c | 243.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7c…051cbacked Yes | 27c | 206.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…dd29backed Yes | 18c | 194.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Yes | 29c | 175.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…0061backed Yes | 11c | 171.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 24c | 167.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Yes | 25c | 167.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 68c | 160.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…01b6backed Yes | 18c | 160.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b05…1483backed Yes | 23c | 151.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…e83dbacked Yes | 17c | 144.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…bb2abacked No | 76c | 130.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 72c | 129.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…3ed0backed Yes | 35c | 113.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…d028backed Yes | 27c | 110.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…6c7ebacked Yes | 10c | 107.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…8283backed Yes | 22c | 103.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…2903backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…5c7bbacked Yes | 27c | 91.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…da31backed Yes | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…1188backed Yes | 24c | 90.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…50c6backed Yes | 22c | 90.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes | 23c | 85.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 18c | 83.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…1b2cbacked Yes | 40c | 83.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…b1ccbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…12f4backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…3fd1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…9f10backed Yes | 20c | 76.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 18c | 73.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…2994backed Yes | 24c | 73.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…8165backed Yes | 17c | 70.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 20c | 63.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…2d24backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…367cbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 69c | 58.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…c354backed Yes | 36c | 55.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…c25fbacked Yes | 27c | 54.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…83e7backed Yes | 37c | 54.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…1adfbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…eb70backed Yes | 29c | 48.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…66d5backed Yes | 34c | 43.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 75c | 42.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cab…b113backed Yes | 38c | 42.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…9e3ebacked Yes | 26c | 41.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 41c | 39.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…815dbacked Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d8d3backed No | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?this page
- Will Bruno Mascarenhas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?No won
- Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.