Tennis · resolved market
ITF Frankfurt: Adrian Oetzbach vs David Fix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd9859ae5a10b4a8c0a69054e809ff018d004a9ef5e1d0d98caf4767132ed3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- David Fixof Adrian Oetzbach, David Fix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Oetzbach | 28c | 4,218$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed David Fix | 77c | 2,684$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked David Fix | 49c | 630.02$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Oetzbach | 19c | 372.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked David Fix | 58c | 275.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed David Fix | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Adrian Oetzbach | 36c | 196.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Adrian Oetzbach | 36c | 192.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Adrian Oetzbach | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked David Fix | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 43c | 134.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed David Fix | 46c | 112.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Adrian Oetzbach | 40c | 106.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed David Fix | 66c | 97.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked David Fix | 59c | 91.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Adrian Oetzbach | 31c | 81.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 38c | 75.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked David Fix | 50c | 69.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked David Fix | 62c | 61.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked David Fix | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…e907backed Adrian Oetzbach | 32c | 54.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Adrian Oetzbach | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed David Fix | 79c | 41.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Adrian Oetzbach | 47c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked David Fix | 77c | 38.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed David Fix | 34c | 37.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 48c | 29.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked David Fix | 70c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 69c | 27.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed David Fix | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed David Fix | 64c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Adrian Oetzbach | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed David Fix | 62c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.