Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Felipe Vazquez vs Felipe de Dios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1fd72a561c73bbd10281551e19f6d3ab4c6d6d89f71cafdf27cfabcf7ff323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe de Diosof Felipe Vazquez, Felipe de Dios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felipe Vazquez | 63c | 771.33$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Felipe de Dios | 69c | 711$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Felipe Vazquez | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Felipe de Dios | 70c | 435.14$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Felipe Vazquez | 30c | 393$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Felipe de Dios | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Felipe de Dios | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felipe Vazquez | 36c | 290.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Felipe de Dios | 71c | 252.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Felipe de Dios | 71c | 243.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Felipe Vazquez | 31c | 225$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Felipe Vazquez | 67c | 169.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Felipe de Dios | 23c | 167$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Felipe Vazquez | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Felipe Vazquez | 42c | 148.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Felipe de Dios | 68c | 146.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Felipe Vazquez | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felipe de Dios | 34c | 145.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…c8d4backed Felipe de Dios | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Felipe Vazquez | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Felipe de Dios | 57c | 52.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Felipe Vazquez | 46c | 52.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Felipe Vazquez | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Felipe de Dios | 39c | 42.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Felipe de Dios | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Felipe Vazquez | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Felipe de Dios | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Felipe de Dios | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Felipe de Dios | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.47per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Felipe Vazquez | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Felipe de Dios | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Felipe Vazquez | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Felipe Vazquez | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.