CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45154439239f209750e6847d015f73e4b84dcfc44c03317ee1fe719b07242b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 2,512$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.04 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Nemiga | 68c | 1,890$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.1 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 929.07$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.54 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FORZE Reload | 36c | 906.41$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.95 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Nemiga | 62c | 868.23$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.92 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 656.54$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga | 74c | 560$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.59 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Nemiga | 47c | 456.86$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.07 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faf…54d2backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 451.07$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Nemiga | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Nemiga | 57c | 405.6$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 79c | 333.25$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked Nemiga | 56c | 314$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 291.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 287.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 276.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Nemiga | 75c | 240$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga | 64c | 220.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked Nemiga | 62c | 193.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 185$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Nemiga | 69c | 185$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 61c | 175.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed FORZE Reload | 33c | 169.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 57c | 167$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…a35dbacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 154.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga | 56c | 149.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Nemiga | 55c | 141.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Nemiga | 68c | 134.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FORZE Reload | 27c | 129.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…bf43backed Nemiga | 61c | 94.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga | 60c | 93.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload | 36c | 84.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FORZE Reload | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 44c | 79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FORZE Reload | 17c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 68.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked FORZE Reload | 41c | 61.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 49.9%178 W · 179 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 56.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FORZE Reload | 35c | 53.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FORZE Reload | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 47.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FORZE Reload | 35c | 43.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga | 56c | 41.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nemiga | 70c | 38.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Nemiga | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Nemiga | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 73c | 29.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.