CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c4500faa5aa0842a7d0622af12d0ed7cef392e99c3b8e05516bff2c3069b788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FORZE Reload | 58c | 7,774$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Nemiga | 39c | 1,174$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.14 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nemiga | 42c | 1,000$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nemiga | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Nemiga | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…3f56backed Nemiga | 42c | 521.55$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 42c | 500$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nemiga | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Nemiga | 42c | 402.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Nemiga | 46c | 390$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Nemiga | 43c | 347.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 323.02$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 51c | 315$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nemiga | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed Nemiga | 41c | 276.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…53a2backed Nemiga | 42c | 183$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Nemiga | 49c | 168$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nemiga | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nemiga | 43c | 116$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nemiga | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Nemiga | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Nemiga | 39c | 55.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nemiga | 50c | 50.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nemiga | 41c | 46.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nemiga | 54c | 39.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nemiga | 53c | 22.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed FORZE Reload | 79c | 15.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.