Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Vito Antonio Darderi vs Lautaro Rocha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b4c7ff58eadeacca33cbc70dd36f79e2548dab9105a29305ab78247393099d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vito Antonio Darderiof Vito Antonio Darderi, Lautaro Rocha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Lautaro Rocha | 42c | 1,066$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.62 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 57c | 710.28$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Lautaro Rocha | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 69c | 281.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 38c | 223.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 58c | 149.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Lautaro Rocha | 42c | 147.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lautaro Rocha | 25c | 119.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lautaro Rocha | 55c | 81.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 71c | 73.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Lautaro Rocha | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…7a6bbacked Lautaro Rocha | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Vito Antonio Darderi | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Lautaro Rocha | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Lautaro Rocha | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 66c | 36.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Lautaro Rocha | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Lautaro Rocha | 37c | 27.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lautaro Rocha | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vito Antonio Darderi | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Lautaro Rocha | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lautaro Rocha | 55c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.