Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Tobia Grandinetti vs Santiago De la Fuente
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95b884d3f5a6e2b16ca7794184f8a8649fae282ef467d61a15c546e1ab4d1d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santiago De la Fuenteof Tobia Grandinetti, Santiago De la Fuente
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tobia Grandinetti | 36c | 4,922$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 4,026$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.62 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Santiago De la Fuente | 66c | 1,147$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.58 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tobia Grandinetti | 25c | 582.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 75c | 395.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tobia Grandinetti | 28c | 331.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tobia Grandinetti | 26c | 236.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 62c | 235$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Tobia Grandinetti | 27c | 232.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tobia Grandinetti | 35c | 205.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 74c | 184.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed Santiago De la Fuente | 62c | 157.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Santiago De la Fuente | 63c | 144$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tobia Grandinetti | 32c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Santiago De la Fuente | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Santiago De la Fuente | 75c | 105.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tobia Grandinetti | 26c | 88.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tobia Grandinetti | 34c | 59.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 43.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 40.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Santiago De la Fuente | 79c | 36.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tobia Grandinetti | 33c | 36.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 36.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Santiago De la Fuente | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked Santiago De la Fuente | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Santiago De la Fuente | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.