MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f0ad76570ce67d4f18bbe512ac101a009950f72fb242b220f8749eb1e8d0c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 2,957$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked LG Twins | 59c | 2,684$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 7c | 2,324$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 1,253$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.19 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 473.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked LG Twins | 58c | 380.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed LG Twins | 59c | 262.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked LG Twins | 62c | 252.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 226.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 58c | 211$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed LG Twins | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 152.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 58c | 145.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanwha Eagles | 10c | 145.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Hanwha Eagles | 16c | 128.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 75.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 74.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LG Twins | 67c | 71.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed LG Twins | 58c | 70.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed LG Twins | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…df8dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed LG Twins | 62c | 31.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed LG Twins | 59c | 27.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…3e5abacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…69c0backed LG Twins | 50c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…2ef0backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7f20backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…53aabacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8070…6a05backed LG Twins | 50c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked LG Twins | 60c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked LG Twins | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.