MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56431e2610ae12f390e63a85b68c9e0f04de0c9cd60cf434e36a37723dc76ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked KT Wiz | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked KT Wiz | 43c | 2,109$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked LG Twins | 58c | 1,172$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.15 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 79c | 1,050$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 13c | 971$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed KT Wiz | 44c | 850$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LG Twins | 57c | 808.94$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed KT Wiz | 32c | 625.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked LG Twins | 56c | 600.08$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.59 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed KT Wiz | 41c | 514.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 14c | 491.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked LG Twins | 59c | 370$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed LG Twins | 56c | 357.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 13c | 216.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked KT Wiz | 41c | 150.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed LG Twins | 58c | 145$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed KT Wiz | 26c | 127.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 79c | 122$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed KT Wiz | 39c | 107.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed KT Wiz | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed LG Twins | 65c | 85.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 27c | 72.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed KT Wiz | 37c | 68.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked LG Twins | 59c | 67.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked KT Wiz | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb430…efc9backed KT Wiz | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed LG Twins | 59c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked LG Twins | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed LG Twins | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed LG Twins | 78c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.