TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof San Francisco Giants, Boston Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$390,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants26c113,789$29,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,081.391,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked San Francisco Giants0c103,820$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.82633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox44c48,362$21,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,939.142,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox63c43,623$27,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,988.8710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed San Francisco Giants75c20,300$15,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1997352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox55c10,764$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,857.1185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked San Francisco Giants43c9,624$4,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,104.69639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox47c6,917$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants64c6,048$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.384,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Boston Red Sox44c4,413$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.5133554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Boston Red Sox37c4,007$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.3725447.6%121 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Boston Red Sox34c3,183$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.8824252.9%128 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed Boston Red Sox29c2,900$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0591361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox63c2,559$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.88,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Boston Red Sox27c2,200$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.999828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants36c2,001$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.818,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed San Francisco Giants56c1,875$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.8627244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox61c1,800$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.5637032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants34c1,688$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.356,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Boston Red Sox29c1,587$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.0312759.1%75 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x968b…87f6backed San Francisco Giants51c1,539$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.27887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+82.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox37c1,451$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.858,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed San Francisco Giants59c1,416$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9995252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked San Francisco Giants46c1,191$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.1952053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Boston Red Sox24c1,049$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants78c956.89$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6479442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants50c858.1$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.254,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Boston Red Sox74c820.06$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.563525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed San Francisco Giants68c775$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53011150.5%56 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25519534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants53c724.65$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox68c724.52$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.591,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed San Francisco Giants67c682.2$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.99259.8%55 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb993…61febacked Boston Red Sox36c668.19$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants34c660.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.471,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants55c653.94$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7485148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Boston Red Sox52c618.2$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4861346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Boston Red Sox50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants64c562.41$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7855758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Boston Red Sox33c553.61$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.926764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox57c524.65$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.634756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed San Francisco Giants8c505.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6516250.6%82 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Boston Red Sox36c500$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31827231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Boston Red Sox17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41514643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox37c499.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.691,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked San Francisco Giants52c498.18$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.785,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Boston Red Sox46c485.24$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8915340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Boston Red Sox21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.191,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked San Francisco Giants13c475.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7647345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed San Francisco Giants61c436.96$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.117152.6%90 W · 81 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Boston Red Sox29c413.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7922055.5%122 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox26c354$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.7240043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox31c350.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.041,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Boston Red Sox38c349.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5919051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Francisco Giants77c336.85$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5715851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed San Francisco Giants34c336.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4843647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants63c336.3$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.931,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants47c323.52$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.224,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Boston Red Sox24c323$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4816057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Boston Red Sox38c313.02$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.891,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Boston Red Sox59c312.1$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9658060.5%351 W · 229 L+30.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed San Francisco Giants33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox51c296.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3992046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Boston Red Sox28c288$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2194655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Boston Red Sox64c287.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2447852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…b200backed Boston Red Sox25c284.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.143652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Boston Red Sox44c283.85$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4148660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed San Francisco Giants77c258.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010756.1%60 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Francisco Giants34c238.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8458352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants34c229.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.992,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox65c216.31$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Boston Red Sox66c213$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.427050%35 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants33c209.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Boston Red Sox40c201.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2631957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Boston Red Sox44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11310252%53 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c16…e71abacked San Francisco Giants35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed San Francisco Giants32c199.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.497445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Boston Red Sox36c197.7$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5317047.1%80 W · 90 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants66c195.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.651,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Francisco Giants73c190.71$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3458746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4e…d6e9backed Boston Red Sox37c186.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.838464.3%54 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked San Francisco Giants49c171.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.311,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked San Francisco Giants34c170$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.879543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Boston Red Sox39c166.46$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2649762.2%309 W · 188 L+38.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5735…9f18backed Boston Red Sox66c159.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.44573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants34c154.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5422744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Boston Red Sox40c152.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.561,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Boston Red Sox43c150.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9630934.3%106 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Boston Red Sox67c147.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox66c147.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.184,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Boston Red Sox33c144.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1140048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Boston Red Sox49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8612333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe176…0f99backed San Francisco Giants65c136.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.554940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed San Francisco Giants76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox39c130.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9860348.6%293 W · 310 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Boston Red Sox20c125.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.061741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked San Francisco Giants80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed San Francisco Giants51c124.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.297944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed San Francisco Giants42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.