MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffec559c4521a03d18f75524d481699083fa91330fdc9df31d219422ac277355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 107,869$58,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,535.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 96,527$44,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,363.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 8,213$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.07 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 8,053$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.58 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 6,331$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.86 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 5,602$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.11 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,938$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,083$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 2,477$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 2,243$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.02 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.44 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.62 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 995.99$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 826.51$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 716.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 47c | 661.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 594$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 56c | 538$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 504.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 45c | 458.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 442.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 423.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 45c | 296.93$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 263.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 55c | 236.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 55c | 188.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 46c | 169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 36c | 133.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 53c | 99.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…be98backed Under | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 45c | 89.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 73c | 46.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 55c | 45.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 42.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 30.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 45c | 29.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 45c | 23.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 64c | 21.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 54c | 21.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.